Análisis Real Jaén vs Recreativo Granada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.04
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.5%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-55%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1964 |
RJA
4 - 0
ANT
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1964 |
IMP
1 - 0
RJA
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -2 |
| 29 nov. 1964 |
RJA
4 - 0
AMA
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 nov. 1964 |
PRI
0 - 1
RJA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1964 |
RJA
3 - 1
ALM
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1964 |
IMP
3 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1964 |
GRA
3 - 0
PRI
62%
20%
17%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 nov. 1964 |
ADR
2 - 0
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 1964 |
GRA
1 - 0
ILI
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 nov. 1964 |
PUE
2 - 1
GRA
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |