Tercera División IX - Andalucía y Melilla Jor. 11

Análisis Real Jaén vs Guadix CF

Real Jaén Guadix CF
43 ELO 22
-12.7% Tilt -25.4%
4949º Ranking ELO general 10184º
172º Ranking ELO país 839º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
80.3%
Real Jaén
14.1%
Empate
5.6%
Guadix CF

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.4
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.6%
Win probability
Guadix CF
0.47
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO18.722.125.62932.535.939.342.846.249.753.156.56063.466.970.3-61%-52.6%-44.2%-35.8%-27.3%-18.9%-10.5%-2.1%6.4%14.8%23.2%31.6%40.1%48.5%56.9%65.3%73.8%82.2%90.6%99%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Jaén
-13%
+32%
Guadix CF

Progresión del ELO

20º25º30º35º40º45º50º55ºNov .16Feb .17Jun .17Sep .17
Real Jaén
Guadix CF
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2017
VEL
Vélez CF
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
19%
26%
55%
45 27 18 0
08 oct. 2017
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Linares Deportivo
LIN
51%
26%
23%
44 41 3 +1
01 oct. 2017
MAL
At. Malagueño
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
56%
23%
21%
45 44 1 -1
24 sep. 2017
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Loja
LOJ
67%
21%
13%
45 34 11 0
17 sep. 2017
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Juventud Torremolinos
JUV
78%
15%
7%
45 26 19 0

Partidos

Guadix CF
Guadix CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2017
GUA
Guadix CF
0 - 0
Antequera CF
ANT
18%
22%
60%
22 36 14 0
08 oct. 2017
PAL
El Palo FC
2 - 0
Guadix CF
GUA
82%
12%
6%
22 34 12 0
01 oct. 2017
GUA
Guadix CF
2 - 1
Melistar
MEL
30%
21%
49%
21 25 4 +1
24 sep. 2017
MAR
Maracena
2 - 1
Guadix CF
GUA
61%
21%
18%
22 25 3 -1
17 sep. 2017
GUA
Guadix CF
0 - 2
Atarfe Industrial
ATA
40%
24%
35%
23 25 2 -1