Análisis Real Jaén vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.91
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 3
LLE
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1954 |
OSA
8 - 4
RJA
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 1954 |
RJA
1 - 2
MAL
65%
18%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 0
BAR
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
HER
2 - 0
RJA
50%
21%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 1954 |
MAL
0 - 0
HER
76%
13%
11%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1954 |
HER
6 - 1
LLE
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1954 |
BAR
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 may. 1954 |
OSA
1 - 0
HER
68%
17%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 may. 1954 |
HER
2 - 0
RJA
50%
21%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |