Segunda División Grupo Sur Jor. 5

Análisis Real Jaén vs Hércules

Real Jaén Hércules
72 ELO 60
1.5% Tilt -5.7%
4922º Ranking ELO general 2260º
171º Ranking ELO país 73º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
73.1%
Real Jaén
15.8%
Empate
11.1%
Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.57
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.1%
Win probability
Hércules
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Jaén
-21%
-7%
Hércules

Progresión del ELO

Real Jaén
Hércules
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 oct. 1958
CCF
Córdoba CF
3 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
44%
25%
31%
73 58 15 0
28 sep. 1958
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
CA Almeria
CAA
86%
10%
5%
73 38 35 0
21 sep. 1958
CEU
Club Atlético De Ceuta
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
39%
24%
37%
73 53 20 0
14 sep. 1958
RJA
Real Jaén
6 - 3
CD Málaga
MAL
69%
18%
14%
73 61 12 0
08 jun. 1958
RSO
Real Sociedad
7 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
71%
16%
13%
73 79 6 0

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 oct. 1958
HER
Hércules
5 - 1
CF Extremadura
EXT
69%
17%
14%
60 56 4 0
28 sep. 1958
LEV
Levante
4 - 0
Hércules
HER
59%
21%
20%
61 58 3 -1
21 sep. 1958
HER
Hércules
5 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
70%
17%
13%
60 56 4 +1
14 sep. 1958
CDT
Tenerife
2 - 1
Hércules
HER
63%
20%
17%
60 61 1 0
01 jun. 1958
ALI
Alicante
1 - 2
Hércules
HER
53%
22%
25%
59 48 11 +1