Segunda División Grupo Sur Jor. 27

Análisis Real Jaén vs Hércules

Real Jaén Hércules
58 ELO 60
5.4% Tilt -3.3%
4925º Ranking ELO general 2260º
171º Ranking ELO país 73º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.1%
Real Jaén
22.2%
Empate
20.7%
Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
Hércules
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Jaén
-23%
-16%
Hércules

Progresión del ELO

Real Jaén
Hércules
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 mar. 1962
LEV
Levante
2 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
69%
18%
13%
57 62 5 0
25 feb. 1962
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
CD Málaga
MAL
54%
24%
23%
57 64 7 0
18 feb. 1962
REC
Recreativo
3 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
67%
18%
16%
57 57 0 0
11 feb. 1962
RJA
Real Jaén
6 - 0
Cádiz
CAD
52%
23%
25%
56 59 3 +1
04 feb. 1962
ALB
Albacete
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
55%
22%
24%
57 50 7 -1

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 mar. 1962
HER
Hércules
5 - 2
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
CFC
77%
13%
10%
60 52 8 0
28 feb. 1962
BET
Real Betis
3 - 1
Hércules
HER
85%
10%
6%
61 82 21 -1
25 feb. 1962
UDL
UD Las Palmas
2 - 0
Hércules
HER
61%
22%
18%
61 64 3 0
18 feb. 1962
LEV
Levante
3 - 1
Hércules
HER
63%
20%
17%
62 62 0 -1
14 feb. 1962
HER
Hércules
2 - 3
Real Betis
BET
41%
24%
35%
63 82 19 -1