Segunda División Grupo Sur Jor. 16

Análisis Real Jaén vs Hércules

Real Jaén Hércules
59 ELO 58
0.3% Tilt -7%
4930º Ranking ELO general 2262º
171º Ranking ELO país 73º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
58.9%
Real Jaén
21.9%
Empate
19.2%
Hércules

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
Hércules
1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO50.853.355.958.56163.666.268.771.373.876.47981.584.186.789.2-23.6%-21.2%-18.9%-16.6%-14.3%-11.9%-9.6%-7.3%-5%-2.7%-0.3%2%4.3%6.6%8.9%11.3%13.6%15.9%18.2%20.6%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Jaén
-23%
-16%
Hércules

Progresión del ELO

56º57º58º59º60º61º62º63ºFeb .62May .62Sep .62Dec .62
Real Jaén
Hércules
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 1963
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Cádiz
CAD
49%
24%
27%
57 63 6 0
30 dic. 1962
PUL
AD Plus Ultra
3 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
61%
21%
18%
58 59 1 -1
23 dic. 1962
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 2
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
CFC
68%
17%
15%
58 54 4 0
16 dic. 1962
GRA
Granada
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
68%
19%
13%
57 70 13 +1
09 dic. 1962
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
Tenerife
CDT
56%
25%
20%
57 66 9 0

Partidos

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 1963
HER
Hércules
0 - 1
UD Las Palmas
UDL
60%
22%
19%
59 64 5 0
30 dic. 1962
CAD
Cádiz
3 - 1
Hércules
HER
63%
21%
17%
60 62 2 -1
23 dic. 1962
HER
Hércules
2 - 3
Levante
LEV
63%
20%
17%
61 61 0 -1
16 dic. 1962
HER
Hércules
2 - 3
Eldense
ELD
79%
13%
9%
62 50 12 -1
09 dic. 1962
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
54%
24%
22%
62 62 0 0