Segunda División B Jor. 9

Análisis Real Jaén vs Lorca FC

Real Jaén Lorca FC
66 ELO 57
-6.1% Tilt -27.9%
4931º Ranking ELO general 18638º
171º Ranking ELO país 6381º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
62%
Real Jaén
23.1%
Empate
14.9%
Lorca FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
Lorca FC
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Real Jaén
Lorca FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 oct. 2014
UCA
UCAM Murcia
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
27%
31%
42%
67 54 13 0
05 oct. 2014
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Recreativo Granada
GRA
66%
22%
12%
66 55 11 +1
28 sep. 2014
MAR
Marbella FC
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
17%
30%
53%
67 45 22 -1
21 sep. 2014
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 1
La Roda CF
ROD
75%
18%
7%
67 49 18 0
14 sep. 2014
RJA
Real Jaén
5 - 0
Arroyo
ARR
72%
19%
9%
66 49 17 +1

Partidos

Lorca FC
Lorca FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 oct. 2014
LOR
Lorca FC
1 - 2
Betis Deportivo
BET
74%
17%
9%
58 44 14 0
05 oct. 2014
CAD
Cádiz
2 - 0
Lorca FC
LOR
55%
25%
21%
58 60 2 0
28 sep. 2014
LOR
Lorca FC
1 - 1
CF Villanovense
VIL
63%
21%
16%
58 52 6 0
21 sep. 2014
CRD
Córdoba CF B
2 - 1
Lorca FC
LOR
26%
29%
45%
59 50 9 -1
14 sep. 2014
LOR
Lorca FC
2 - 0
FC Cartagena
CAR
49%
26%
25%
58 59 1 +1