Segunda División B Jor. 11

Análisis Real Jaén vs Lucena

Real Jaén Lucena
61 ELO 48
-31% Tilt -17.4%
4995º Ranking ELO general 18876º
171º Ranking ELO país 5826º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
53.5%
Real Jaén
27.6%
Empate
18.9%
Lucena

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
27.6%
Empate
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
18.8%
Win probability
Lucena
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO18.623.127.632.136.741.245.750.254.859.363.868.372.977.481.986.4-64.5%-58.2%-51.9%-45.6%-39.2%-32.9%-26.6%-20.3%-14%-7.7%-1.3%5%11.3%17.6%23.9%30.2%36.6%42.9%49.2%55.5%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

45º48º51º54º57º60º63ºDec .08Mar .09Jun .09Sep .09
Real Jaén
Lucena
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 oct. 2009
ECI
Écija Balompié
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
32%
30%
38%
63 56 7 0
17 oct. 2009
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
San Roque de Lepe
SRQ
54%
27%
19%
63 49 14 0
11 oct. 2009
SEV
Sevilla At.
0 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
43%
28%
30%
62 57 5 +1
04 oct. 2009
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 0
Unión Estepona
EST
52%
28%
21%
62 48 14 0
27 sep. 2009
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
UD Melilla
MEL
44%
30%
26%
62 58 4 0

Partidos

Lucena
Lucena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 oct. 2009
LUC
Lucena
2 - 2
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
45%
25%
31%
48 46 2 0
18 oct. 2009
MOR
Moratalla
2 - 1
Lucena
LUC
23%
26%
51%
50 37 13 -2
11 oct. 2009
LUC
Lucena
1 - 1
Real Murcia Imperial
IMP
41%
26%
33%
50 51 1 0
04 oct. 2009
ROQ
Ciudad de Roquetas
2 - 1
Lucena
LUC
54%
24%
22%
50 53 3 0
27 sep. 2009
LUC
Lucena
1 - 2
Poli Ejido
POL
17%
26%
57%
51 70 19 -1