Análisis Real Jaén vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.7%
Empate
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
29.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 0
RJA
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 1
BAL
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
BET
0 - 1
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
SPO
69%
21%
11%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
RJA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
POL
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
LUC
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
SRQ
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
LUC
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |