Análisis Real Jaén vs Maspalomas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 1989 |
BAL
1 - 0
RJA
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1989 |
RJA
1 - 2
AGD
47%
28%
25%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 1989 |
CCF
1 - 0
RJA
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1989 |
RJA
3 - 1
GRA
48%
27%
26%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 oct. 1989 |
SEV
2 - 1
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1989 |
MAS
1 - 5
ALB
33%
30%
37%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1989 |
MER
1 - 1
MAS
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1989 |
MAS
0 - 1
MEL
52%
27%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1989 |
TOM
4 - 1
MAS
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 oct. 1989 |
MAS
1 - 0
CDT
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |