Análisis Real Jaén vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.1%
7.9%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.9%
1.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.28
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1986 |
MIJ
0 - 1
RJA
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1986 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAL
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 1986 |
AMA
1 - 0
RJA
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 may. 1986 |
ORI
1 - 0
RJA
58%
24%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
RJA
2 - 3
PUE
52%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1986 |
MEL
1 - 0
COI
56%
26%
18%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1986 |
MIJ
0 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
19%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 ago. 1986 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDP
72%
19%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1986 |
POL
3 - 1
MEL
67%
21%
12%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
MEL
1 - 0
CDF
71%
20%
9%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |