Análisis Real Jaén vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2002 |
MER
1 - 0
RJA
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2002 |
RJA
0 - 0
CIU
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2002 |
EXT
1 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2002 |
RJA
2 - 1
ECI
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
SEV
0 - 1
RJA
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAL
42%
28%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2002 |
ALG
2 - 1
MEL
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 2002 |
MEL
2 - 0
BET
38%
28%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
CAD
2 - 0
MEL
63%
24%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 0
JER
35%
29%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |