Análisis Real Jaén vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
RJA
35%
31%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 2
ARR
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
RJA
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
SEV
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2013 |
SRQ
0 - 1
RJA
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 abr. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
CAD
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
ROD
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
MEL
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAR
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 3
MEL
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |