Análisis Real Jaén vs CD Mensajero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
21.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 1997 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAL
27%
31%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1997 |
CAD
1 - 1
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1997 |
RJA
0 - 1
CCF
37%
30%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1997 |
GAL
3 - 1
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 mar. 1997 |
RJA
2 - 0
SEV
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1997 |
CDM
0 - 1
POL
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1997 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDM
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1997 |
CDM
2 - 0
POL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 1997 |
CAD
4 - 0
CDM
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 1997 |
CDM
1 - 3
XER
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |