Análisis Real Jaén vs Moratalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2009 |
IMP
0 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
ROQ
54%
28%
19%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 2
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
CFB
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
MEL
17%
26%
58%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 ago. 2009 |
IMP
2 - 0
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALC
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |