Segunda B - Play Offs Ascenso Cuartos
Global 3-2
Análisis Real Jaén vs Palencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 0
BET
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 4
RJA
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
RJA
3 - 1
JER
61%
25%
15%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 1
RJA
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2010 |
RCF
0 - 4
CFP
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CFP
2 - 2
ZAM
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
CDG
0 - 0
CFP
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CFP
1 - 0
CUL
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
CFP
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |