Análisis Real Jaén vs Ponferradina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.8%
Empate
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
REC
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2014 |
RMC
1 - 1
RJA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDT
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RJA
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2014 |
PON
0 - 1
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2014 |
EIB
0 - 0
PON
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
ALA
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 3
PON
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 abr. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |