Análisis Real Jaén vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 1963 |
LEV
6 - 1
RJA
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1963 |
RJA
1 - 1
UDL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 1963 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 ene. 1963 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAD
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 1963 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1963 |
SEV
0 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 ene. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 0
MUR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 1963 |
LEV
1 - 2
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |