Análisis Real Jaén vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.8%
Empate
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
15%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1970 |
JOV
0 - 0
RJA
37%
28%
36%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1970 |
RJA
1 - 1
MER
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1970 |
MEL
0 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 1970 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 jun. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 1
ORI
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 0
BAL
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1970 |
CDB
3 - 1
MUR
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 1970 |
MUR
4 - 0
ADL
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | +2 |
| 06 sep. 1970 |
REC
2 - 1
MUR
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 5
ZAR
20%
23%
56%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |