Análisis Real Jaén vs Real Murcia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30%
Empate
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 1972 |
POR
1 - 0
RJA
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1972 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 dic. 1971 |
CDB
2 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 dic. 1971 |
RJA
1 - 0
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1971 |
AGD
2 - 2
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ene. 1972 |
MUR
4 - 0
SEV
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1972 |
ELD
0 - 1
MUR
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1971 |
MUR
4 - 0
ELC
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 dic. 1971 |
MUR
3 - 0
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1971 |
POR
0 - 0
MUR
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |