Análisis Real Jaén vs Recreativo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 1945 |
BAL
2 - 2
RJA
46%
23%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1945 |
CAT
1 - 2
RJA
51%
21%
28%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 1945 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1945 |
RJA
3 - 2
MEL
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 ene. 1945 |
ALG
0 - 0
RJA
55%
20%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 1945 |
REC
1 - 1
MEL
63%
18%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1945 |
REC
4 - 0
MEL
56%
20%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 1945 |
ALG
0 - 0
REC
54%
20%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1945 |
REC
1 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1945 |
RCD
2 - 1
REC
72%
15%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |