Análisis Real Jaén vs Recreativo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
8%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
PUE
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1977 |
OSA
4 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 dic. 1977 |
GDE
1 - 0
RJA
56%
27%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 0
REC
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 1978 |
REC
3 - 1
OSA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1978 |
REC
3 - 2
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 ene. 1978 |
REC
2 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 dic. 1977 |
REC
3 - 1
RAY
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |