Análisis Real Jaén vs San Fernando CD
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
RJA
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 2
MEL
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
RJA
35%
31%
34%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
RJA
3 - 2
ARR
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARR
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SEV
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |