Análisis Real Jaén vs Terrassa FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.27
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1954 |
XER
9 - 1
RJA
49%
23%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1954 |
RJA
5 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1954 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 1954 |
RJA
2 - 0
EXT
85%
9%
5%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 nov. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 0
RJA
50%
22%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Terrassa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1954 |
TER
2 - 0
UDE
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1954 |
TER
2 - 1
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 nov. 1954 |
XER
4 - 1
TER
78%
13%
9%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 1954 |
TER
4 - 1
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 nov. 1954 |
GRA
3 - 1
TER
78%
14%
9%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |