Análisis Real Jaén vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
10%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 1960 |
CAD
0 - 2
RJA
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1960 |
RJA
2 - 1
RAY
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 1960 |
CAA
3 - 1
RJA
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 1960 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1960 |
REC
0 - 1
RJA
45%
24%
30%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 1960 |
VAL
3 - 1
CDB
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 1960 |
VAL
0 - 0
CDT
63%
19%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1960 |
CAD
0 - 1
VAL
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 1960 |
VAL
1 - 3
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 1960 |
CAA
4 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |