Análisis Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
86.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 3
RMA
12%
19%
70%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 4
RMA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2019 |
RMA
4 - 2
GIR
83%
12%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2019 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 0
RMA
9%
17%
75%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2019 |
GET
4 - 0
ALA
46%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 1
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 1
VCF
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2018 |
RSO
0 - 1
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |