Supercopa de España . Semifinal

Análisis Real Madrid vs Athletic

Real Madrid Athletic
92 ELO 86
18.7% Tilt 8%
Ranking ELO general 35º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
74.3%
Real Madrid
15.5%
Empate
10.1%
Athletic

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74.3%
Probabilidad gana
Real Madrid
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.1%
Probabilidad gana
Athletic
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Madrid
+2%
+8%
Athletic

Progresión del ELO

Real Madrid
Athletic
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 ene. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
0 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
13%
19%
68%
92 82 10 0
02 ene. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Celta
CEL
79%
14%
8%
92 84 8 0
30 dic. 2020
ELC
Elche
1 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
7%
16%
77%
92 75 17 0
23 dic. 2020
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Granada
GRA
77%
14%
9%
92 85 7 0
20 dic. 2020
EIB
Eibar
1 - 3
Real Madrid
RMA
17%
22%
61%
91 85 6 +1

Partidos

Athletic
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 2021
ATH
Athletic
2 - 3
Barcelona
FCB
15%
21%
64%
86 92 6 0
03 ene. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 0
Elche
ELC
61%
23%
17%
85 76 9 +1
31 dic. 2020
ATH
Athletic
0 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
30%
26%
44%
85 89 4 0
22 dic. 2020
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 1
Athletic
ATH
63%
20%
17%
85 89 4 0
18 dic. 2020
ATH
Athletic
2 - 0
Huesca
HUE
57%
23%
19%
85 78 7 0
X