Análisis Real Madrid vs Atlético
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.4%
Probabilidad gana
3.17
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALC
96%
4%
1%
|
97 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
RMA
7%
15%
79%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
RMA
21%
21%
57%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 2
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
RJA
88%
9%
2%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 0
SEV
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
HAP
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
ATM
16%
23%
62%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
GET
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |