Supercopa de España . Final
Global 5-1Análisis Real Madrid vs Barcelona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ago. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
56%
19%
26%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUD
79%
13%
8%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 ago. 2017 |
MLS
1 - 1
RMA
2%
8%
90%
|
94 | 14 | 80 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 3
FCB
47%
22%
31%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 1
RMA
21%
20%
59%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ago. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 3
RMA
56%
19%
26%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2017 |
FCB
5 - 0
CHA
96%
3%
1%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 1
FCB
4%
11%
86%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 3
FCB
47%
22%
31%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUD
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |