Análisis Real Madrid vs Barcelona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.08
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2024 |
RMA
5 - 3
ATM
65%
20%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2024 |
ACF
1 - 3
RMA
2%
11%
88%
|
98 | 39 | 59 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 0
MLL
82%
13%
6%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
RMA
6%
17%
76%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 0
OSA
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 3
FCB
2%
11%
87%
|
95 | 43 | 52 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 2
FCB
10%
20%
70%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 3
AME
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALM
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | +1 |