Supercopa de España Final

Análisis Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid Barcelona
100 ELO 99
6.9% Tilt 18.6%
Ranking ELO general
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
55.2%
Real Madrid
20.7%
Empate
24.1%
Barcelona

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.2%
Probabilidad gana
Real Madrid
2.13
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.1%
Probabilidad gana
Barcelona
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Real Madrid
-7%
+2%
Barcelona

Progresión del ELO

Real Madrid
Barcelona
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 ene. 2025
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Mallorca
MLL
89%
9%
3%
100 88 12 0
06 ene. 2025
MIN
Deportiva Minera
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
4%
12%
84%
100 48 52 0
03 ene. 2025
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
8%
16%
77%
100 89 11 0
22 dic. 2024
RMA
Real Madrid
4 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
82%
13%
5%
100 91 9 0
18 dic. 2024
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
89%
9%
2%
100 84 16 0

Partidos

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 ene. 2025
ATH
Athletic
0 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
14%
18%
69%
98 94 4 0
04 ene. 2025
BAR
Barbastro
0 - 4
Barcelona
FCB
3%
10%
88%
98 51 47 0
21 dic. 2024
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 2
Atlético
ATM
61%
21%
18%
98 96 2 0
15 dic. 2024
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 1
Leganés
LEG
88%
9%
3%
98 83 15 0
11 dic. 2024
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 3
Barcelona
FCB
32%
22%
46%
98 96 2 0