Análisis Real Madrid vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
93.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.82
Goles esperados
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.2%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.8%
4-0
13%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
4.8%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.41
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
76%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 0
RAC
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 2
LEV
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
GET
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEV
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2012 |
GET
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 3
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
MLL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |