Análisis Real Madrid vs Necaxa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
86%
Probabilidad gana
3.19
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2000 |
RMA
3 - 2
RCA
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2000 |
COR
2 - 2
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 1
BET
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2000 |
ALN
1 - 3
RMA
9%
17%
74%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1999 |
ALA
1 - 3
RMA
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 1
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2000 |
NEC
3 - 1
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 ene. 2000 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1999 |
LDA
1 - 2
NEC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 1999 |
DCU
1 - 3
NEC
84%
10%
5%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |