Copa del Rey Semifinal
Global 2-1
Análisis Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.5%
Probabilidad gana
3.23
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jun. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 2
RMA
36%
22%
43%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1940 |
RMA
3 - 1
RAC
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1940 |
RMA
3 - 1
OSA
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1940 |
OSA
1 - 4
RMA
34%
22%
44%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
MUR
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jun. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 2
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 0
ZAR
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 4
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 may. 1940 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1940 |
ATM
0 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |