Copa del Rey . Semifinal
Global 3-4
Análisis Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 5
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1986 |
INT
3 - 1
RMA
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1986 |
UDL
4 - 3
RMA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1986 |
RMA
2 - 1
VAD
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1986 |
NEX
2 - 0
RMA
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 1986 |
ZAR
1 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1986 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZAR
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 1986 |
ZAR
4 - 0
UDL
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1986 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RAC
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1986 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RMA
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |