Supercopa de España Final
Global 4-1
Análisis Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
76%
Probabilidad gana
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 2001 |
RMA
2 - 1
VAD
79%
13%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2001 |
OVI
1 - 1
RMA
23%
24%
54%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2001 |
RMA
5 - 0
ALA
73%
16%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2001 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
29%
24%
47%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 jun. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 3
ZAR
59%
22%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 2001 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATM
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2001 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |