Análisis Real Madrid vs Real Zaragoza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.1
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.5%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.45
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2011 |
RMA
0 - 2
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
VCF
3 - 6
RMA
26%
25%
49%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 1
RMA
61%
20%
20%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2011 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
46%
23%
32%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2011 |
TOT
0 - 1
RMA
31%
26%
44%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALM
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 1
GET
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 1
ZAR
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2011 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |