Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 9-1
Análisis Real Madrid vs SD Ceuta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.2%
Probabilidad gana
3.24
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 0
RMA
48%
22%
29%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1945 |
RMA
4 - 1
OVI
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 4
RMA
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 1945 |
SDC
1 - 1
JFC
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1945 |
CUL
3 - 1
SDC
60%
20%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 dic. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 4
RMA
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 1
SDC
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |