Análisis Real Madrid vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.51
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.4%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 2
APO
95%
4%
1%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 5
RMA
7%
18%
75%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2012 |
APO
0 - 3
RMA
7%
16%
77%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 1
RSO
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
RMA
9%
18%
74%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 0
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
LEV
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 1
VCF
35%
27%
39%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
GET
3 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 2
ZAR
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |