Análisis Real Madrid vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.95
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.9%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2016 |
RMA
1 - 0
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2016 |
RSO
0 - 1
RMA
12%
19%
69%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 3
RMA
10%
17%
73%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 0
VIL
83%
12%
6%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2016 |
VCF
0 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
GET
2 - 2
VCF
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2016 |
VCF
4 - 0
EIB
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 2
VCF
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 1
SEV
35%
26%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |