Análisis Real Madrid vs Villarreal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.11
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 2
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2008 |
RMA
0 - 1
MLL
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
LEV
0 - 2
RMA
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2008 |
MLL
2 - 1
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 2008 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
FCB
31%
27%
43%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 0
VCF
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
REC
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 3
DEP
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2008 |
REC
1 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |