Análisis Real Murcia vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.2%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 1
MUR
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
XER
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 2
ALC
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 1
ALC
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |