Análisis Real Murcia vs CD Alcalá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.1%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.3%
13.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
3.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.31
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
16%
27%
58%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSK
25%
26%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAD
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 3
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALC
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
20%
27%
54%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
CAD
2 - 0
ALC
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
ROQ
21%
27%
52%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 ene. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
SEV
19%
26%
55%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |