Análisis Real Murcia vs CD San Fernando
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.21
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1956 |
LEV
1 - 0
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1956 |
MUR
0 - 1
HER
64%
18%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDT
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1956 |
MAL
1 - 2
MUR
58%
21%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 2
EXT
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 1956 |
SFE
1 - 1
MAL
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1956 |
EXT
4 - 1
SFE
74%
15%
12%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 1956 |
SFE
2 - 0
SDC
80%
12%
9%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 oct. 1956 |
PUE
4 - 1
SFE
37%
23%
40%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 1956 |
SFE
0 - 3
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |