Copa de la Liga de España 1/16
Global 9-1
Análisis Real Murcia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 1985 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1985 |
MUR
3 - 1
RAC
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 1985 |
RMA
5 - 0
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 1985 |
MUR
2 - 0
SEV
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 mar. 1985 |
ATH
1 - 0
MUR
80%
13%
6%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 1985 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
20%
27%
52%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 1985 |
HER
2 - 1
VAD
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1985 |
SEV
2 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |