Copa del Rey . 1/64
Global 6-3
Análisis Real Murcia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
73.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1991 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1991 |
HER
2 - 2
MUR
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 1991 |
LLE
2 - 0
MUR
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 1991 |
MUR
2 - 1
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 jun. 1991 |
ZAR
5 - 2
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1991 |
HER
2 - 0
CDB
66%
22%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1991 |
HER
2 - 2
MUR
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1991 |
LEV
0 - 1
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 1991 |
ELC
2 - 3
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 1991 |
HER
0 - 1
GAN
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |