Análisis Real Murcia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2022 |
ELD
1 - 3
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
NUC
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 0
MUR
28%
29%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 0
LEV
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 mar. 2022 |
PUL
0 - 0
MUR
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
CSP
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ELD
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
NUC
1 - 0
HER
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
CDE
56%
25%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 mar. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 0
HER
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |