Análisis Real Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2006 |
EIB
0 - 0
MUR
48%
28%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 2
VAD
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
SPO
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
CDT
3 - 1
MUR
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 0
CIU
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
ELC
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2006 |
RCF
0 - 3
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
POL
2 - 3
LOR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEV
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
LLE
2 - 2
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |