Análisis Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 0
ZAR
47%
22%
31%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1978 |
MUR
5 - 1
OSA
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 dic. 1977 |
MUR
3 - 1
LEV
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1977 |
CAS
1 - 1
MUR
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 0
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ene. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
PUE
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1977 |
OSA
4 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 dic. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 dic. 1977 |
GDE
1 - 0
RJA
56%
27%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 dic. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 1
SAB
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |