Análisis Real Murcia vs UD Logroñés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.38
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
LEA
85%
12%
3%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
MUR
15%
25%
60%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 2
SAB
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
CEL
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2014 |
RCF
1 - 2
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
UDL
4 - 1
TRO
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 2
UDL
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 0
AST
55%
24%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
UDL
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |